We provide our clients with reliable data, forecasts and analysis for over 200 countries and more than 34 key commodities to help them make sound business decisions. Our reports feature the Consensus Forecast (mean average), along with best- and worst-case scenarios. Find out how FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast reports can help you meet your business goals.
August 31, 2022
Global growth will cool in 2022, bruised by soaring inflation, higher interest rates and waning fiscal stimulus measures. The outlook is volatile, with risks tilted to the downside. A potential escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war, faster-than-expected monetary policy tightening, stop-start Covid-19 restrictions in China, and food and energy crises are downside risks.
August 10, 2022
Regional growth will lose steam in 2022, on the back of much tighter monetary policy, high inflation and weaker growth abroad. However, recovering tourism flows and the fading impact of the pandemic will provide support, and high commodity prices in H1 bode well for exports. Further currency outflows and sociopolitical unrest are risks.
August 10, 2022
Regional economic growth will lose steam this year, due to a tougher base effect and the impact from the Ukraine war. Higher global commodity prices are fueling inflation, eating into consumers’ pockets. Tighter financial conditions will further weigh on activity. However, lower unemployment rates and solid remittances should offer some support to household consumption.
August 26, 2022
The economy should expand at a faster pace this year than in 2021. The relaxation of Covid-19 measures coupled with accumulated savings and tighter labor markets should buttress household spending. Moreover, the tourist sector will benefit from easing border restrictions. Elevated inflation, supply disruptions and China’s renewed lockdowns cloud the outlook.
August 26, 2022
Regional growth will almost halve this year. In China (including Hong Kong), Covid-19 restrictions and the property market downturn will weigh on momentum, spilling over to affecting neighbors in the form of supply disruptions and weaker exports. Beyond China, Covid-19 flare-ups and rising interest rates and inflation could also dampen demand. A prolonged Chinese slowdown is a key risk.
August 31, 2022
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August 3, 2022
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
August 3, 2022
Regional economic growth is set to cool this year as the Ukraine war bites, on top of a tougher base of comparison. The war is fueling inflation, worsening supply chains and hurting sentiment. Moreover, international sanctions placed on Russia will weigh on tourism and trade. Lower unemployment rates and easing Covid-19 restrictions should offer some respite, however.
August 3, 2022
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
August 3, 2022
Regional growth is set to improve this year. Oil exporting countries will drive momentum: OPEC+ quota increases will boost their crude output, while higher hydrocarbon prices will plump their public finances. Most oil importing countries are set to grow at weaker paces on higher imported inflation. Risks include food insecurity, extreme weather and Iran-related tensions.
August 26, 2022
Regional growth should come in at a near decade high this year, barring 2021’s rebound. However, key risks remain, stemming from the fallout of the war in Ukraine. Twin deficits in some countries are widening, and some debt-to-GDP ratios in the region are being pushed up to the highest levels in decades, placing many countries in debt distress risk.
September 8, 2022
Industrial output increased 0.9% year on year in working-day adjusted terms in July (June: +2.8% yoy).
September 8, 2022
Consumer prices rose 0.68% in August over the previous month, below the 1.08% rise seen in July.
September 8, 2022
Consumer prices increased 0.67% over the previous month in August, slowing from the 0.94% increase seen in July.
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